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Evaluating the Effects of SARS-CoV-2 Spike Mutation D614G on Transmissibility and Pathogenicity

COG-UK Consortium; Volz, E; Hill, V; McCrone, JT; Price, A; Jorgensen, D; O'Toole, A; Southgate, J; Johnson, R; Jackson, B; Nascimento, FF; Rey, SM; Nicholls, SM; Colquhoun, RM; Filipe, AD; Shepherd, J; Pascall, DJ; Shah, R; Jesudason, N; Li, K; Jarrett, R; Pacchiarini, N; Bull, M; Geidelberg, L; Siveroni, I; Goodfellow, I; Loman, NJ; Pybus, OG; Robertson, DL; Thomson, EC; Rambaut, A; Connor, TR

Authors

COG-UK Consortium

E Volz

V Hill

JT McCrone

A Price

D Jorgensen

A O'Toole

J Southgate

R Johnson

B Jackson

FF Nascimento

SM Rey

SM Nicholls

RM Colquhoun

AD Filipe

J Shepherd

DJ Pascall

R Shah

N Jesudason

K Li

R Jarrett

N Pacchiarini

M Bull

L Geidelberg

I Siveroni

I Goodfellow

NJ Loman

OG Pybus

DL Robertson

EC Thomson

A Rambaut

TR Connor



Abstract

Global dispersal and increasing frequency of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein variant D614G are suggestive of a selective advantage but may also be due to a random founder effect. We investigate the hypothesis for positive selection of spike D614G in the United Kingdom using more than 25,000 whole genome SARS-CoV-2 sequences. Despite the availability of a large dataset, well represented by both spike 614 variants, not all approaches showed a conclusive signal of positive selection. Population genetic analysis indicates that 614G increases in frequency relative to 614D in a manner consistent with a selective advantage. We do not find any indication that patients infected with the spike 614G variant have higher COVID-19 mortality or clinical severity, but 614G is associated with higher viral load and younger age of patients. Significant differences in growth and size of 614G phylogenetic clusters indicate a need for continued study of this variant.

Citation

COG-UK Consortium, Volz, E., Hill, V., McCrone, J., Price, A., Jorgensen, D., …Connor, T. (2021). Evaluating the Effects of SARS-CoV-2 Spike Mutation D614G on Transmissibility and Pathogenicity. Cell, 184(1), 64-+. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2020.11.020

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Nov 11, 2020
Publication Date 2021
Deposit Date Jan 12, 2022
Publicly Available Date Jan 12, 2022
Print ISSN 0092-8674
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 184
Issue 1
Pages 64-+
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2020.11.020
Keywords RESPIRATORY SYNDROME CORONAVIRUS; ACTIVATION; APE
Public URL https://rvc-repository.worktribe.com/output/1555268

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