Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation

Toor, J; Adams, E R; Aliee, M; Amoah, B; Anderson, R M; Ayabina, D; Bailey, R; Basáñez, M G; Blok, D J; Blumberg, S; Borlase, A; Rivera, R C; Castaño, M S; Chitnis, N; Coffeng, L E; Crump, R E; Das, A; Davis, C N; Davis, E L; Deiner, M S; Diggle, P J; Fronterre, C; Giardina, F; Giorgi, E; Graham, M; Hamley, J I D; Huang, C I; Kura, K; Lietman, T M; Lucas, T C D; Malizia, V; Medley, G F; Meeyai, A; Michael, E; Porco, T C; Prada, J M; Rock, K S; Le Rutte, E A; Smith, M E; Spencer, S E F; Stolk, W A; Touloupou, P; Vasconcelos, A; Vegvari, C; de Vlas, S J; Walker, M; Hollingsworth, T D

doi:10.1093/cid/ciaa933

Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation

Toor, J; Adams, E R; Aliee, M; Amoah, B; Anderson, R M; Ayabina, D; Bailey, R; Basáñez, M G; Blok, D J; Blumberg, S; Borlase, A; Rivera, R C; Castaño, M S; Chitnis, N; Coffeng, L E; Crump, R E; Das, A; Davis, C N; Davis, E L; Deiner, M S; Diggle, P J; Fronterre, C; Giardina, F; Giorgi, E; Graham, M; Hamley, J I D; Huang, C I; Kura, K; Lietman, T M; Lucas, T C D; Malizia, V; Medley, G F; Meeyai, A; Michael, E; Porco, T C; Prada, J M; Rock, K S; Le Rutte, E A; Smith, M E; Spencer, S E F; Stolk, W A; Touloupou, P; Vasconcelos, A; Vegvari, C; de Vlas, S J; Walker, M; Hollingsworth, T D

Authors

J Toor

E R Adams

M Aliee

B Amoah

R M Anderson

D Ayabina

R Bailey

M G Basáñez

D J Blok

S Blumberg

A Borlase

R C Rivera

M S Castaño

N Chitnis

L E Coffeng

R E Crump

A Das

C N Davis

E L Davis

M S Deiner

P J Diggle

C Fronterre

F Giardina

E Giorgi

M Graham

J I D Hamley

C I Huang

K Kura

T M Lietman

T C D Lucas

V Malizia

G F Medley

A Meeyai

E Michael

T C Porco

J M Prada

K S Rock

E A Le Rutte

M E Smith

S E F Spencer

W A Stolk

P Touloupou

A Vasconcelos

C Vegvari

S J de Vlas

M Walker

T D Hollingsworth

Abstract

Abstract Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many key neglected tropical disease (NTD) activities have been postponed. This hindrance comes at a time when the NTDs are progressing towards their ambitious goals for 2030. Mathematical modelling on several NTDs, namely gambiense sleeping sickness, lymphatic filariasis, onchocerciasis, schistosomiasis, soil-transmitted helminthiases (STH), trachoma, and visceral leishmaniasis, shows that the impact of this disruption will vary across the diseases. Programs face a risk of resurgence, which will be fastest in high-transmission areas. Furthermore, of the mass drug administration diseases, schistosomiasis, STH, and trachoma are likely to encounter faster resurgence. The case-finding diseases (gambiense sleeping sickness and visceral leishmaniasis) are likely to have fewer cases being detected but may face an increasing underlying rate of new infections. However, once programs are able to resume, there are ways to mitigate the impact and accelerate progress towards the 2030 goals.

Citation

Toor, J., Adams, E. R., Aliee, M., Amoah, B., Anderson, R. M., Ayabina, D., …Hollingsworth, T. D. (2020). Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation. Clinical Infectious Diseases, https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa933

Journal Article Type	Article
Acceptance Date	Jul 10, 2020
Publication Date	Sep 28, 2020
Deposit Date	Oct 7, 2020
Publicly Available Date	Nov 20, 2020
Journal	Clinical Infectious Diseases
Print ISSN	1058-4838
Publisher	Oxford University Press
Peer Reviewed	Peer Reviewed
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa933
Keywords	Microbiology (medical), Infectious Diseases
Public URL	https://rvc-repository.worktribe.com/output/1375482